Noah Rosenstein
Updated on: October 7, 2024 3:46 am GMT
WNBA Picks: Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
As WNBA fans gear up for the matchup between the Atlanta Dream and the Phoenix Mercury, there’s plenty to consider. This game, set for Tuesday, September 3, at the Footprint Center, presents an intriguing dynamic given the recent performances of both teams. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of our best bets and analysis for what promises to be an engaging and competitive game.
Best Bet: Under 160.5 Points (-110 at FanDuel)
With both teams struggling offensively and consistently failing to find their rhythm, the safest wager appears to be the total going under the set line. The Atlanta Dream, currently the WNBA’s lowest-scoring team, managed to snap a four-game losing streak with an encouraging victory over the Los Angeles Sparks. However, even with that win, they’re averaging just 78.4 points during their latest games.
Defensively, the Dream rank fifth in points allowed, conceding nearly 80 points per game, but they have displayed resilience, particularly against teams like the Mercury. On the other side, the Phoenix Mercury have faced their share of challenges, managing only 74 points per game in their last five contests, including a disappointing loss to the Las Vegas Aces.
Recent trends have shown the Under hitting in seven of the last eight meetings between these two teams. Given both teams’ struggles to score consistently, this bet is compounded by defensive strengths that should keep the total low.
Individual Player Props to Consider
- Kahleah Copper Under 23.5 Points
After a hot start to the season, Kahleah Copper has been in a slump, failing to score more than 16 points in her last four outings. Expect her to struggle again against the Dream’s defense, which has been effective in containing opposing scorers.
- Allisha Gray Over 1.5 Three-Pointers
Allisha Gray has found her shooting touch from beyond the arc, hitting at least two threes in her last six games. Given her consistent production against the Mercury this season, this prop appears to be a favorable play.
- Brittney Griner to Score 20+ Points
Griner remains a crucial asset for Phoenix. Even in their recent struggles, she’s been able to elevate her scoring and should find opportunities against a Dream defense that sometimes struggles inside.
Recent Form and Head-to-Head Trends
Atlanta Dream (11-21)
- Recent Win: 80-62 vs. LA Sparks (snapped 4-game skid)
- Points Per Game: 76.1 (12th in WNBA)
- Last Five Games: 2-3 ATS, 5-1-1 Under
Phoenix Mercury (16-17)
- Recent Loss: 97-79 vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Points Per Game: 82.5 (average; 7th in WNBA)
- Last Five Games: 1-4, average margin of loss by over 15 points
The two teams have faced each other three times this season, with the Mercury holding a slight 2-1 advantage. Both teams’ latest meetings have resulted in low-scoring affairs, further supporting the expectation for the Under.
Conclusion
As we get ready for the game between the Atlanta Dream and the Phoenix Mercury, one good betting option is to pick under 160.5 points. Also, checking out player props for Copper and Gray might give you some extra chances to win. Both teams are facing their own challenges, so this game should be really exciting. If you’re thinking about betting, it’s a great time to look at the trends and make smart choices before the game starts. Enjoy watching, and good luck!
