Cathy Toogood
Updated on: October 9, 2024 8:08 am GMT
Tropical Storm Francine Forecasted to Strengthen Before Making Landfall in Louisiana
Tropical Storm Francine is rapidly intensifying as it approaches the Gulf Coast, with forecasters predicting it will make landfall in Louisiana as a Category 2 hurricane on Wednesday afternoon. The storm is currently gathering strength over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, prompting evacuations and emergency declarations in several coastal areas.
Current Status of Tropical Storm Francine
As of Monday evening, Tropical Storm Francine was located approximately 145 miles south of the mouth of the Rio Grande River near Brownsville, Texas. The storm’s maximum sustained winds had already increased from 50 mph earlier in the day to 65 mph, putting it just shy of hurricane status. Meteorologists expect Francine to intensify into a hurricane by Monday night, making landfall south of Jennings, Louisiana, around 1 p.m. Wednesday.
Threats to Southeast Louisiana
Residents of Louisiana should prepare for significant impacts as the storm approaches. According to the National Weather Service, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and the potential for tornadoes are forecasted to begin affecting southern Louisiana by Tuesday afternoon. Tropical storm-force winds may arrive as early as 8 p.m. on Tuesday, with hurricane conditions expected on Wednesday.
Rainfall and Flooding Concerns
Tropical Storm Francine is anticipated to bring significant rainfall, with totals ranging from 4 to 12 inches across various regions. Coastal areas in Louisiana may experience the most severe flooding, with rainfall rates potentially reaching 7 to 9 inches within a 12-hour period, raising concerns about flash flooding.
Storm Surge Alerts Issued
A storm surge watch has been established for coastal areas from High Island, Texas, to the mouth of the Mississippi River, with storm surge levels potentially reaching up to 10 feet in some locations. Officials are particularly concerned about this flooding risk exacerbated by strong winds and heavy rains.
Local Preparations and Evacuations
In anticipation of the storm’s arrival, local officials have ordered mandatory evacuations in Cameron Parish and both mandatory and voluntary evacuations in Jefferson Parish, particularly in Grand Isle. In Mississippi, the city of Pass Christian has also begun voluntary evacuations. Emergency preparations are being implemented as officials distribute sandbags and close floodgates in affected areas.
Statewide Emergency Declaration
Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry has declared a statewide emergency amid concerns regarding the storm. He emphasized the importance of residents being prepared while also urging them not to panic. “These storms are storms we unfortunately have been susceptible to each and every year,” he stated during a Monday press conference.
Looking Ahead: Uncertainty and Continued Monitoring
While meteorologists are confident in Francine’s projected path and expected intensity, uncertainty remains regarding the storm’s exact landfall location and strength at that time. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the situation closely as Francine moves northward over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which can greatly enhance its power as it approaches land.
Additional Weather Threats in the Atlantic
Observers should remain vigilant as two other areas in the Atlantic have been identified as potential storm development zones over the next week. However, no immediate threats from those areas are expected at this time, leaving focus primarily on Tropical Storm Francine.
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