Leipzig vs Union Berlin Preview with Predictions and Lineups

Updated on: October 11, 2024 7:59 am GMT

RB Leipzig will host Union Berlin at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday in an exciting Bundesliga matchup that highlights the contrasting fortunes of the two teams early in the 2024-25 season. Leipzig, riding a wave of momentum, sits in third place with six points, while Union Berlin is in fifth with four points following a recent victory. This match is pivotal for both sides as they attempt to solidify their standing in the league.

Recent Performances and Team Form

RB Leipzig’s recent form has been impressive, marked by a thrilling 3-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen in their last outing. The team came from behind after falling 2-0 at halftime, a deficit that seemed daunting against a side unbeaten in 35 league matches prior to that game. Kevin Kampl’s first-half stoppage-time strike sparked the turnaround, followed by two goals from Ikoma Lois Openda, who is emerging as a key player for Leipzig this season.

Under the guidance of head coach Marco Rose, Leipzig has exhibited resilience and attacking flair, having won nine and drawn four of their last 13 league matches. Furthermore, they have not lost at home in their last eight games at the Red Bull Arena, recording six wins and keeping six clean sheets. This home advantage is crucial as they prepare to face Union Berlin.

Union Berlin’s Challenge

Union Berlin enters this match following a narrow 1-0 victory over St. Pauli. Despite having only 40% possession during that match, the team managed to create several goal-scoring opportunities, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on critical moments. The match-winning goal came from Benedict Hollerbach, showcasing the club’s determination to improve their form after a tumultuous period last season.

After parting ways with long-serving manager Urs Fischer, Berlin’s current coach, Bo Svensson, faces the challenge of turning around the club’s fortunes, particularly in away matches. Historically, they have struggled on the road, winning just once in their last 17 league games away from home. This statistic looms large as they prepare for the test at Leipzig.

Injury Updates and Team Lineups

RB Leipzig will be without center-back Willi Orban due to suspension, alongside midfielders Xaver Schlager and Assan Ouedraogo, both nursing knee injuries. However, Leipzig’s squad depth is substantial, allowing them to field a strong lineup featuring goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and a back four that may include Benjamin Henrichs, Lukas Klostermann, Castello Lukeba, and David Raum.

Union Berlin’s difficulties are compounded by the absence of key players Josip Juranovic and Kevin Volland, both sidelined due to injury. Goalkeeper Yannic Stein will also miss the match, putting additional pressure on the defensive unit that will likely feature Frederik Roennow in goal.

Expected Lineups

Betting and Odds Analysis

As the teams prepare to clash, Leipzig is favored to win, with odds reflecting their strong home record and recent performances. Bettors may find value in the Asian Handicap betting option, where Union Berlin is positioned at +1.25, allowing for a potential cushion in case of a narrow defeat. The odds suggest a 54.6% likelihood of this bet winning, although some analyses estimate this closer to 60% based on team form and head-to-head comparisons.

Several statistics underpin the expectation for Leipzig to continue their winning streak against Union Berlin. The previous encounters between the two sides have seen Leipzig victorious in their last two matchups, with scorelines of 3-0 and 2-0 in favor of the hosts. Notably, Leipzig’s offensive players have been prolific, with Openda leading as a top scorer and playmaker.

Historical Context

The head-to-head history between the two clubs shows a competitive edge for Leipzig, which has registered five wins in their last ten encounters against Union Berlin. Despite Union’s efforts to strengthen their squad and recover form, their recent away record raises questions about their chances against a formidable Leipzig side.

Fans are really excited for the match! They want to see if Leipzig can keep up their great start to the season. On the other hand, Union Berlin is hoping to earn some important points to climb higher in the standings. The result of the game might depend on how well each player performs, the choices the coaches make, and how well the teams can handle pressure during the game.