Amber Phillips
Updated on: October 13, 2024 6:08 am GMT
Queensland Premier Steven Miles is facing a challenging political landscape as the state braces for the upcoming election on October 26. A new Newspoll has revealed that the Labor Party may be on track to lose a significant number of seats, potentially transforming the state’s political framework and ushering in a new era under the Liberal National Party (LNP).
Polling Numbers Reveal a Shift
The latest poll results, commissioned by The Australian, indicate that the LNP, led by David Crisafulli, holds a commanding lead over the incumbent Labor government. The survey shows the LNP with 55% support compared to Labor’s 45% after preferences. This marks an 8.2% swing against Labor since the last election in 2020.
Here are the key findings from the poll:
- The LNP is projected to win 55 out of 93 seats in parliament.
- 41% of respondents are satisfied with Premier Miles’ performance, while 51% are dissatisfied.
- Only 29% believe Miles deserves to remain in office, with 57% favoring a change.
These statistics reflect a difficult position for Miles, who took over the premiership from former leader Annastacia Palaszczuk in late 2023. The poll suggests that voters are increasingly leaning towards Crisafulli, whose performance satisfaction rating stands at 49%.
Public Sentiment on Leadership
As Election Day approaches, public sentiment appears to be shifting away from Miles. The survey asked respondents who they believe would make a better premier. While 39% backed Miles, Crisafulli garnered 46%. The numbers disclose a growing confidence in Crisafulli, with 53% believing he is ready to govern.
Miles’ declining support is troubling for the Labor Party, particularly given the long-standing tradition of Labor holding power in Queensland. The party has been in power for approximately 30 of the last 35 years, but current conditions may disrupt this trend.
Critical Issues at Stake
Several critical issues are likely impacting voter sentiment leading up to the election. Cost of living, infrastructure, and public safety remain high on the list of voter concerns. Miles’ government recently implemented measures aimed at easing financial burdens, including:
- A $1,000 rebate for all Queenslanders to cover electricity bills.
- 50 cent fares on public transportation.
- Stamp duty concessions for first-time homebuyers.
However, the effectiveness of these measures appears to be overshadowed by persistent public dissatisfaction, particularly regarding road safety. The Bruce Highway, a vital roadway, has been a site of numerous accidents, resulting in over 40 fatalities in the past year alone.
Miles acknowledged the need for improvement, stating a desire for the federal government to adjust its funding commitment from 50:50 to an 80:20 split. “We’ve been very, very clear that we expect the Australian government to properly fund what is the country’s most important road,” he remarked.
Caption: Road safety remains a significant concern in Queensland, impacting voter opinions ahead of the election.
Additionally, Miles faced backlash earlier this month for his choice to fly between regional cities rather than take the highway, generating negative press and further straining his credibility.
The Road Ahead for Queensland Politics
As the election date nears, the Labor Party finds itself in a precarious position. With these poll results, the LNP’s potential return to majority government could mark a significant political realignment in Queensland. Analysts suggest that a change in government may bring fresh perspectives and policies that could resonate with voters tired of Labor’s long-standing governance.
From infrastructure improvement to addressing cost of living concerns, the newly elected government will have pressing matters awaiting immediate attention. Whether voters choose to retain Miles as Premier or shift leadership to Crisafulli is still uncertain, but the stakes couldn’t be higher for both parties.
In a rapidly changing political climate, every campaign move will be crucial for both Miles and Crisafulli. Voter engagement and turnout will play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of this highly anticipated election. As Queenslanders prepare to cast their ballots, the outcome will not only shape the state’s future but may also redefine the political landscape across Australia.
In the next few weeks, everyone will be watching Queensland. The state election could either keep the Labor Party in charge or bring in more conservative leaders. As the election gets closer, voters will think hard about their choices, knowing they can change their government for a long time.
